dreaming crowds

Simulate choices
when people shop
with AI.

Get in touch

Compare your current offer with an alternative.
Estimate how customer choices could change.

Get in touch

Your customers now ask an assistant. So should you.

Hypothetical conversation · illustrates the method, not a result

  1. Brand · Headphones A

    More of our shoppers find products through AI assistants. Should we cut our price from $200 to $180?

  2. Dreaming Crowds

    Surveys and A/B tests measure people looking at products. Visibility tools count mentions. Neither tells you what a shopper will choose when an assistant shortlists for them.

    So we run both versions of your market and compare. One change, everything else fixed.

    Scenario

    product
    Headphones A
    price
    $200to$180
    battery
    24 h
    competitors
    Headphones B, C
    request
    “Over-ear headphones for commuting. Comfort matters. Budget: $200.”
  3. First, what the assistants say. Same request, both prices.

    Hypothetical comparison of recommendations at $200 and $180.
    Decisionat $200at $180
    recommendsHeadphones BHeadphones Achanged
  4. So the lower price works.

  5. It wins the recommendation. A recommendation is not a purchase, so now the shopper. This one usually buys Headphones B.

    Hypothetical comparison of recommendations and shopper choices at $200 and $180.
    Decisionat $200at $180
    recommendsHeadphones BHeadphones Achanged
    shopper choosesHeadphones BHeadphones Bunchanged

    Predicted choice at $180: Headphones B. Unchanged.

    Hypothetical · one shopper

    A visibility tool would say

    Headphones A gained the top recommendation.

    We say

    The price cut gives up margin and does not move this shopper.

  6. What else can I test?

  7. Any one change.

    Pricing

    Today
    $200
    Test
    $180

    Same 24 h battery.

    Product

    Today
    24 h battery
    Test
    36 h battery

    Same $200 price.

    Positioning

    Today
    “24-hour battery”
    Test
    “Your commute, all week”

    Same product and price.

    You get estimated customer choices by assistant and shopper group, confidence in the difference, and the recommendations behind each estimate.

  8. How do you know how people react to AI advice?

  9. Can I check your track record?

  10. Soon, in public. We will forecast whether AI assistants recommend the products that sell, compared with Amazon best-seller rankings.

    Public forecast

    2026Black Friday forecast

    Public forecast · in preparation

    1. Two study outlines published
    2. Forecast published and datedPublic forecast · in preparation
    3. Black Friday
    4. Cyber Monday
    5. Results published, whatever they showScheduled

    We announce the category and the forecasts when we publish. In development. We publish what our studies find, including null results.

Your turn. What decision would you compare?

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